Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
12
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 17 H, 1 EPhillies · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Harper grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Kyle Schwarber walks.
bot 9Trea Turner doubles (29) on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
bot 9Garrett Stubbs strikes out swinging, catcher Liam Hicks to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Jorge Mateo flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Liam Hicks singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Ryan Vilade to 2nd.
top 9Jonathan Aranda strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Mesa Jr. 4-5, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Yandy Díaz 3-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 2-4 · Trea Turner 2-5 · Brandon Marsh 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.