Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
7
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 8 H, 0 EPhillies · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Fortes strikes out swinging.
top 9Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonny DeLuca grounds out softly, pitcher Jhoan Duran to first baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 8Bryce Harper grounds out, pitcher Casey Legumina to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber grounds out to first baseman Ryan Vilade. Justin Crawford to 3rd. Trea Turner to 2nd.
bot 8Trea Turner singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Justin Crawford to 2nd.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto flies out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 8Justin Crawford singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonny DeLuca 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-4 · Jorge Mateo 1-3
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Edmundo Sosa 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 3-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.