Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891311
Brewers · 11 H, 1 EPhillies · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, pitcher Antonio Senzatela to first baseman Jake Bauers.
bot 9J.T. Realmuto flies out to right fielder Luis Lara.
bot 9Bryson Stott walks.
bot 9Bryan De La Cruz lines out to second baseman Brice Turang.
top 9Luis Lara grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Alec Bohm.
top 9Gary Sánchez grounds out, first baseman Alec Bohm to pitcher Tim Mayza. Jake Bauers to 3rd.
top 9Jake Bauers doubles (22) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
top 9Jackson Chourio homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cooper Pratt 2-3, 1 RBI · Jake Bauers 2-5, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 2-4, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 2-4 · Brandon Marsh 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.