Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 6 H, 2 EPhillies · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cooper Pratt grounds out, second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Alec Bohm.
top 9Luis Lara singles on a line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Christian Yelich scores.4–6
top 9Christian Yelich walks.
top 9Jake Bauers strikes out swinging.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto flies out sharply to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
bot 8Brandon Marsh doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Bryson Stott scores.3–6
bot 8Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Luis Arraez scores. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd. Throwing error by center fielder Garrett Mitchell.3–5
bot 8Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Luis Arraez to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Bauers 1-4 · Garrett Mitchell 1-4 · David Hamilton 1-3
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 RBI · Luis Arraez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.