Statball

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Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 8 H, 0 EPhillies · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Trea Turner grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Kyle Schwarber grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
top 9Yainer Diaz strikes out swinging.
top 9Taylor Trammell pops out to second baseman Luis Arraez.
top 9Cam Smith homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
top 9Christian Walker grounds out, second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 8Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-4 · Isaac Paredes 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Justin Crawford 1-3 · Alec Bohm 1-3 · Luis Arraez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.