Statball

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Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
5
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 11 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Schwarber pops out to second baseman Nick Allen.
bot 9Derek Hill flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9J.T. Realmuto flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Edmundo Sosa doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Bryson Stott scores.6–5
bot 9Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
top 9Yainer Diaz pops out to shortstop Trea Turner.
top 9Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.
top 9Jose Altuve strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cam Smith 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-3, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.