Statball

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Houston Astros
7
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
11
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 12 H, 2 EPhillies · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Yordan Alvarez pops out to third baseman Bryson Stott in foul territory.
top 9Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.
top 9LaMonte Wade Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Arraez flies out to left fielder Jorge Barrosa.
bot 8Bryce Harper walks.
bot 8Trea Turner strikes out swinging, catcher Yainer Diaz to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Bryan De La Cruz singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Isaac Paredes.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cam Smith 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 2-5
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Bryan De La Cruz 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.