Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 10 H, 0 EPhillies · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Schwarber homers (39) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan De La Cruz scores.46
bot 9Bryan De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Edmundo Sosa scores.44
bot 9Edmundo Sosa doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Bryce Harper scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. Justin Crawford scores.43
bot 9Justin Crawford walks.
bot 9J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Bryce Harper to 3rd.
bot 9Brandon Marsh flies out to left fielder José Fermín.
bot 9Luis Arraez flies out to left fielder José Fermín.
bot 9Bryce Harper doubles (25) on a line drive to left fielder José Fermín.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
José Fermín 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-5, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4, 2 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bryan De La Cruz 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.