Statball

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Miami Marlins
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 5 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 2 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Esteury Ruiz grounds out, third baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Alec Bohm.
top 9Javier Sanoja strikes out swinging.
top 9Leo Jiménez grounds out, third baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 8Trea Turner called out on strikes.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Bryson Stott scores. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.46
bot 8Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto walks.
bot 8Brandon Marsh flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-4, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Arraez 3-4 · Justin Crawford 2-4, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.