Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 7 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Joe Mack flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 9Owen Caissie grounds into a force out, shortstop Trea Turner to second baseman Luis Arraez. Heriberto Hernández out at 2nd. Owen Caissie to 1st.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 8Brandon Marsh grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
bot 8Bryson Stott grounds out, first baseman Griffin Conine to pitcher Victor Vodnik.
bot 8Alec Bohm grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 8Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Arraez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4 · Garrett Stubbs 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.