Statball

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Miami Marlins
5
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 14 H, 1 EPhillies · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Leo Jiménez grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Luis Arraez. Otto Lopez out at 2nd.
top 9Javier Sanoja pops out to shortstop Trea Turner.
top 9Otto Lopez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Xavier Edwards scores.56
top 9Agustín Ramírez grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.
top 9Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to second baseman Luis Arraez.
bot 8Bryson Stott lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Bryce Harper scores.46
bot 8Luis Arraez grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Leo Jiménez. Bryce Harper to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brian Navarreto 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 2-3 · Javier Sanoja 2-5, 2 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 3-4 · Justin Crawford 1-1 · J.T. Realmuto 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.