Statball

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Washington Nationals
10
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 10 H, 0 EPhillies · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Brandon Marsh flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 11Alec Bohm flies out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young. Bryce Harper to 3rd.
bot 11Luis Arraez lines out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 11Brady House grounds out, third baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Alec Bohm.
top 11Nasim Nuñez grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm. Harry Ford scores. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd.104
top 11Andrés Chaparro doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Miles Mikolas scores. Dylan Crews scores. Harry Ford to 3rd.94
top 11Harry Ford walks. Miles Mikolas to 3rd. Dylan Crews to 2nd.
top 11Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brady House 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 3-5, 3 RBI · Jacob Young 2-3
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Arraez 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-5 · J.T. Realmuto 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.