Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
7
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 8 H, 0 EPhillies · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Abimelec Ortiz flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
top 9Keibert Ruiz lines out to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
bot 8Trea Turner grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
bot 8Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 8Nasim Nuñez grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm.
top 8José Tena strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Andrew Pinckney 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jacob Young 2-2, 1 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 2-3, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-3 · J.T. Realmuto 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.