Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 0 EPhillies · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brady House hit by pitch.
top 9Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds out, first baseman Bryce Harper to pitcher Jhoan Duran.
bot 8Brandon Marsh flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8Bryson Stott grounds into a force out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to shortstop CJ Abrams. Bryan De La Cruz out at 2nd. Bryson Stott to 1st.
bot 8Bryan De La Cruz hit by pitch.
bot 8Alec Bohm grounds out, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
bot 8Bryce Harper homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Justin Crawford scores.36

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Abimelec Ortiz 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 2-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Derek Hill 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Edmundo Sosa 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.