Statball

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New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
11
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 8 H, 1 EPhillies · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jasson Domínguez strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.
top 9Ben Rice doubles (18) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.
bot 8Alec Bohm grounds into a double play, shortstop Anthony Volpe to second baseman José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Brandon Marsh out at 2nd. Alec Bohm out at 1st.
bot 8Brandon Marsh walks. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.
bot 8Bryce Harper pops out to shortstop Anthony Volpe.
top 8Austin Wells strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ali Sánchez 2-3 · Anthony Volpe 2-3, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 3-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5, 1 RBI · Gabriel Rincones Jr. 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.