Statball

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New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 7 H, 0 EPhillies · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Bryson Stott grounds out softly to pitcher David Bednar.
bot 9J.T. Realmuto grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9José Caballero strikes out swinging.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9Jasson Domínguez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Justin Crawford grounds out, catcher Austin Wells to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Edmundo Sosa grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alec Bohm out at 2nd. Edmundo Sosa to 1st.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jasson Domínguez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Wells 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan De La Cruz 2-3 · J.T. Realmuto 2-3 · Kyle Schwarber 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.