Statball

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New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 14 H, 0 EPhillies · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9J.T. Realmuto grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Brett Baty.
bot 9Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
bot 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 9Bo Bichette grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Luis Torrens lines out sharply to right fielder Brandon Marsh.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 3-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luis Torrens 2-4, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4 · J.T. Realmuto 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.