Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Mets · 7 H, 1 EPhillies · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Marsh lines out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 9Bryce Harper grounds out, second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Jared Young scores.41
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Brett Baty flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Jared Young walks.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 2-3, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brett Baty 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-3 · J.T. Realmuto 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.