Statball

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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891222
Mets · 3 H, 3 EPhillies · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Marcus Semien grounds out softly, catcher J.T. Realmuto to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Brandon Marsh flies out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
bot 8Justin Crawford flies out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor in foul territory.
bot 8Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Bryce Harper flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 8Bo Bichette flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 1-3 · Bo Bichette 0-3
Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.