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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 14 H, 0 EPhillies · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryson Stott called out on strikes.
bot 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
top 9Jared Triolo grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Endy Rodríguez flies out to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr.
top 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Gonzales homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.61
bot 8Bryce Harper grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Endy Rodríguez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Mangum 3-5
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 1-4, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 1-4 · Bryson Stott 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.