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Pittsburgh Pirates
11
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
7
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 11 H, 0 EPhillies · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bryce Harper walks.
bot 9Kyle Schwarber grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 9Trea Turner strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.
top 9Endy Rodríguez homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Billy Cook scores.117
top 9Esmerlyn Valdez walks. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn singles on a fly ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Endy Rodríguez 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jared Triolo 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.