Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
8
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789233
Pirates · 5 H, 0 EPhillies · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Billy Cook pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm in foul territory.
top 9Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
top 9Endy Rodríguez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Derek Hill.
top 9Nick Gonzales lines out to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 8Brandon Marsh lines out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Bryce Harper walks. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Billy Cook.
bot 8Trea Turner homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Justin Crawford scores.08

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 2-3 · Endy Rodríguez 1-4 · Billy Cook 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Justin Crawford 3-3, 3 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.