Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
10
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 12 H, 1 EPhillies · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alec Bohm.
top 9Nick Gonzales grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Bryson Stott lines out to shortstop Konnor Griffin.
bot 8Alec Bohm homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Brandon Marsh scores.610
bot 8Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to right fielder Jared Triolo.
bot 8Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Henry Davis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 3-4, 1 RBI · Jake Mangum 2-3
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alec Bohm 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.