Statball

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New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
15
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 8 H, 1 EPhillies · 17 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Zack Short strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Torrens singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Garrett Stubbs.
bot 8Bryson Stott flies out to left fielder MJ Melendez.
bot 8Alec Bohm grounds out, shortstop Brett Baty to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Brandon Marsh lines out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 8Eric Wagaman grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 4-5, 3 HR, 6 RBI · Bryce Harper 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.