Statball

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New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 6 H, 1 EPhillies · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9MJ Melendez strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Marcus Semien strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 8Bryson Stott grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher A.J. Minter.
bot 8Derek Hill flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 8Jared Young grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-4, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-3
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Edmundo Sosa 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.