Statball

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Miami Marlins
12
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 13 H, 2 EPhillies · 10 H, 2 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rafael Marchán strikes out swinging.
bot 9Trea Turner doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Esteury Ruiz.
bot 9Garrett Stubbs strikes out swinging.
bot 9Justin Crawford lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Liam Hicks flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Esteury Ruiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr.
top 9Joe Mack flies out sharply to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Jakob Marsee homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.124

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 4-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Joe Mack 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 3-5
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 3-5 · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.