Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
8
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892341
Marlins · 7 H, 0 EPhillies · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Connor Norby grounds out, pitcher Max Lazar to first baseman Kyle Schwarber.
top 9Jakob Marsee singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 9Leo Jiménez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Derek Hill grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Bryson Stott pops out to third baseman Javier Sanoja.
top 8Javier Sanoja strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-4 · Javier Sanoja 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.