Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Miami Marlins
0
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
7
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891222
Marlins · 5 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Connor Norby called out on strikes.
top 9Jakob Marsee lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Esteury Ruiz lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 8Brandon Marsh called out on strikes.
bot 8Bryce Harper out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Edmundo Sosa scores.07
bot 8Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Justin Crawford scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd.06
bot 8Kyle Schwarber walks. Edmundo Sosa to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-4 · Jakob Marsee 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Rincones Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 3-4, 1 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.