Statball

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San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 6 H, 0 EPhillies · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Samad Taylor strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryce Johnson strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill lines out sharply to right fielder Adolis García.
bot 8Bryson Stott grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Alec Bohm grounds into a double play, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France. Brandon Marsh out at 2nd. Alec Bohm out at 1st.
bot 8Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jase Bowen.
top 8Ty France grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner. Xander Bogaerts out at 2nd.
top 8Xander Bogaerts hit by pitch. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Miguel Andujar to 3rd. Gavin Sheets to 2nd.23

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 2-4 · Manny Machado 1-4 · Miguel Andujar 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
J.T. Realmuto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.