Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922123
Padres · 4 H, 2 EPhillies · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jase Bowen strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Andujar flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Jackson Merrill homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Ty France scores.46
top 9Ty France walks.
bot 8Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
bot 8Justin Crawford grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Adolis García lines out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Manny Machado 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bryce Johnson 2-3
Philadelphia Phillies
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Adolis García 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.