Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Cleveland Guardians
3
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111
Guardians · 9 H, 0 EPhillies · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Trea Turner strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
bot 9Justin Crawford grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
top 9Steven Kwan grounds out, pitcher Tanner Banks to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Petey Halpin strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García.
top 9Rhys Hoskins flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 8Adolis García strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 3-4, 1 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 1-3
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 2-4 · Kyle Schwarber 2-4 · Brandon Marsh 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.