Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
1
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
0
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Guardians · 6 H, 0 EPhillies · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Harper grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 9Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
bot 9Trea Turner flies out to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.
top 9Travis Bazzana called out on strikes.
top 9Chase DeLauter pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
top 9Kyle Manzardo homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.10
top 9José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. José Ramírez out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Adolis García to shortstop Trea Turner.
bot 8Justin Crawford grounds into a double play, second baseman Travis Bazzana to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. J.T. Realmuto out at 2nd. Justin Crawford out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Manzardo 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · David Fry 2-3 · Austin Hedges 1-2
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 1-3 · Bryce Harper 1-4 · J.T. Realmuto 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.