Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Cincinnati Reds
9
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893112213
Reds · 15 H, 2 EPhillies · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bryson Stott doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 9Edmundo Sosa grounds out, second baseman Spencer Steer to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, first baseman Sal Stewart to pitcher Sam Moll.
top 9Blake Dunn lines out sharply to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Steer flies out to right fielder Adolis García.
top 9Sal Stewart homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. JJ Bleday scores.94

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 2-5, 3 RBI · Blake Dunn 2-5
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Edmundo Sosa 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alec Bohm 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.