Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Reds · 7 H, 0 EPhillies · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
bot 9Trea Turner flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn in foul territory.
top 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
top 9Ke'Bryan Hayes flies out to center fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Tyler Stephenson walks.
bot 8Rafael Marchán flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
bot 8Otto Kemp grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Blake Dunn 2-4 · Elly De La Cruz 1-3, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-3
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 1-3 · Bryson Stott 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.