Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 6 H, 1 EPhillies · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9TJ Friedl grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 8Justin Crawford grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
bot 8Bryson Stott homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Edmundo Sosa scores.45
bot 8Adolis García flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
bot 8Edmundo Sosa grounds into a force out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Matt McLain. Garrett Stubbs out at 2nd. Edmundo Sosa to 1st.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4 · Matt McLain 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.