Statball

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San Francisco Giants
5
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 13 H, 0 EPhillies · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Adolis García scores.56
bot 10Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Matt Chapman to second baseman Luis Arraez. Adolis García to 3rd.
top 10Casey Schmitt flies out to right fielder Adolis García.
top 10Luis Arraez lines out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
top 10Matt Chapman strikes out swinging.
top 10Heliot Ramos singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford, deflected by second baseman Bryson Stott. Drew Gilbert to 3rd.
bot 9Adolis García flies out sharply to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 9Keaton Winn intentionally walks Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Gilbert 3-5 · Casey Schmitt 2-5 · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 4-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.