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Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789214331
Cubs · 15 H, 0 EPhillies · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Edmundo Sosa grounds into a double play, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Bryson Stott out at 2nd. Edmundo Sosa out at 1st.
bot 9Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman.
bot 9J.T. Realmuto flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Michael Busch grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Nico Hoerner flies out to left fielder Otto Kemp.
top 9Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Carson Kelly homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Seiya Suzuki scores. Miguel Amaya scores.104

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Kelly 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alex Bregman 3-5, 3 RBI · Ian Happ 2-5, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Edmundo Sosa 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 2-4 · Brandon Marsh 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.