Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
3
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 9 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rafael Marchán pops out to second baseman Ketel Marte.
bot 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
top 9Corbin Carroll lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas flies out sharply to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Jorge Barrosa called out on strikes.
bot 8Adolis García pops into a double play, second baseman Ketel Marte to pitcher Ryan Thompson. Brandon Marsh out at 1st.
bot 8Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Bryce Harper to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Fernandez 2-4, 1 RBI · Corbin Carroll 2-4 · James McCann 2-4, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4 · Bryce Harper 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.