Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
4
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 1 EPhillies · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Alek Thomas grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Tim Tawa grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Adolis García called out on strikes.
top 8Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
top 8Jose Fernandez singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd.34

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Adrian Del Castillo 3-4, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Fernandez 1-4, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.