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Chicago Cubs
7
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
13
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 11 H, 1 EPhillies · 15 H, 3 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Miguel Amaya called out on strikes.
top 9Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
top 9Moisés Ballesteros doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Justin Crawford, deflected by left fielder Otto Kemp.
bot 8Justin Crawford lines out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8J.T. Realmuto flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Bryson Stott lines out to right fielder Matt Shaw.
top 8Ian Happ called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Dansby Swanson 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 2-5 · Miguel Amaya 2-4
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Marsh 3-4, 2 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 3-5, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.