Statball

← All live games · Citizens Bank Park

Washington Nationals
13
100% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789412242
Nationals · 17 H, 1 EPhillies · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Harper flies out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 9Kyle Schwarber walks.
bot 9Trea Turner strikes out swinging.
bot 9Rafael Marchán pops out to shortstop CJ Abrams.
bot 9Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood.
top 9CJ Abrams lines out to right fielder Adolis García.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds into a force out, second baseman Edmundo Sosa to shortstop Trea Turner. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. Brady House out at 2nd. Daylen Lile to 1st.132
top 9Brady House singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. James Wood to 3rd. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
José Tena 3-5, 2 RBI · Brady House 2-6, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-6, 1 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Marchán 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-3 · Adolis García 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.