Statball

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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 8 H, 1 EPhillies · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Wood lines out sharply to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Nasim Nuñez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Bryson Stott.
top 9Joey Wiemer strikes out swinging.
top 9José Tena strikes out swinging.
bot 8Bryson Stott grounds into a double play, first baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr. Bryce Harper out at 2nd. Bryson Stott out at 1st.
bot 8Alec Bohm flies out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to third baseman Brady House.
top 8Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 3-4 · Nasim Nuñez 2-4 · CJ Abrams 1-4
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Adolis García 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.