Statball

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Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Final
Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilityPhiladelphia Phillies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Phillies in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789323
Rangers · 8 H, 0 EPhillies · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Phillies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Phillies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Evan Carter grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Danny Jansen singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Kyle Higashioka scores.35
top 9Ezequiel Duran strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Jung grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Throwing error by first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Kyle Higashioka singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Jake Burger homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. Corey Seager scores.25
top 9Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trea Turner.
bot 8Justin Crawford pops out to third baseman Josh Jung in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Burger 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Corey Seager 2-4 · Andrew McCutchen 1-2
Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.