Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
6
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 11 H, 1 EYankees · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Christian Franklin strikes out swinging.
top 9Rece Hinds strikes out swinging.
top 9Leody Taveras doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Heliot Ramos. Pete Alonso scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd.3–6
top 9Jeremiah Jackson lines out to right fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Coby Mayo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Pete Alonso to 2nd.
top 9Pete Alonso walks.
top 9Dylan Beavers homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.2–6
bot 8Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 3-4 · Leody Taveras 2-4, 2 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan McMahon 2-4, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 2-3 · Heliot Ramos 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.