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Baltimore Orioles
10
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 12 H, 1 EYankees · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ben Rice called out on strikes.
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Christian Franklin. Spencer Jones scores.10–2
bot 9José Caballero walks.
bot 9Ali Sánchez hit by pitch. Spencer Jones to 2nd.
bot 9Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Jones singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers.
top 9Dylan Beavers flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Carlos Narváez walks. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Beavers 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 2-4 · Amed Rosario 2-4, 1 RBI · Anthony Volpe 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.