Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
9
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111511
Rays · 6 H, 1 EYankees · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jorge Mateo strikes out swinging.
top 9Cedric Mullins grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Ryan Vilade grounds out sharply, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Spencer Jones flies out to left fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
bot 8Heliot Ramos out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Ali Sánchez scores. Ben Rice to 3rd.2–9
bot 8Luis García Jr. walks. Ali Sánchez to 3rd. Ben Rice to 2nd.
bot 8George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ben Rice singles on a line drive to left fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Ali Sánchez to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonny DeLuca 3-4, 1 RBI · Cedric Mullins 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-4
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan McMahon 2-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · George Lombard Jr. 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.