Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
6
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 9 H, 1 EYankees · 7 H, 2 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ben Williamson lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Jonny DeLuca singles on a ground ball to center fielder José Caballero.
top 9Chandler Simpson flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. flies out to center fielder José Caballero.
bot 8Anthony Volpe strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8George Lombard Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Amed Rosario scores.4–6
bot 8Amed Rosario singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Ben Rice flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-4 · Junior Caminero 2-5, 2 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-3
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
George Lombard Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Austin Wells 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.