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Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 11 H, 0 EYankees · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9George Lombard Jr. grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Spencer Jones to 3rd.
bot 9Spencer Jones walks.
bot 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, pitcher Bryan Baker to second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
top 9Junior Caminero flies out to right fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
top 9Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Taylor Walls scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.6–1

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Walls 3-4, 1 RBI · Yandy Díaz 2-5, 4 RBI · Chandler Simpson 1-4
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 1-4 · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-3 · George Lombard Jr. 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.