Statball

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New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 3 H, 0 EYankees · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jared Young flies out to center fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Carson Benge grounds into a force out, first baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop José Caballero. Bo Bichette out at 2nd. Carson Benge to 1st.
top 9Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ben Rice walks.
bot 8José Caballero strikes out swinging.
top 8Francisco Lindor flies out to shortstop José Caballero.
top 8Brett Baty flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-4 · Francisco Alvarez 1-3 · Brett Baty 1-3
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Wells 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Jones 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.