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New York Mets
12
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 14 H, 0 EYankees · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9George Lombard Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Spencer Jones strikes out swinging.
bot 9Amed Rosario flies out to left fielder Nick Morabito.
bot 9Heliot Ramos singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Morabito.
top 9Marcus Semien pops out softly to catcher Ali Sánchez in foul territory.
top 9Jared Young homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.12–2
top 9Carson Benge lines out to right fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Bo Bichette called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 3-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Jared Young 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Jones 2-4 · Ali Sánchez 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.